Commerzbank forecast downward correction in 2018

Oil traders should expect prices to pullback by at least 15 percent over the coming months, according to a senior analyst at Commerzbank.

Oil prices rose to their highest levels since mid-2015 on Wednesday amid political unrest in Iran, despite analysts saying there was little risk of supply disruption coming from OPEC’s third largest producer. along with while long positions have skyrocketed, short positions — or bets in which prices will fall — have dipped to their lowest levels since February in recent weeks.

The oil cost rally is actually “definitely due to massive overheating of the speculators along with is actually likely to correct over the next month,” Eugen Weinberg, head of commodities research at Commerzbank, told CNBC on Friday.

“(I expect) the cost of oil to correct by at least 10 to 15 percent over the coming months because the current fundamentals are not justifying This particular kind of strength,” Weinberg said.

Oil prices retreated coming from their highest level in 2.5 years on Friday as surging U.S. production appeared to offset supply fears stoked by anti-government rallies in Tehran. Brent crude traded at $67.38 a barrel at around 12 p.m. London time (7 a.m. ET), down 1 percent, while U.S. crude was seen at $61.41, down 0.9 percent.

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