EARLVILLE, N.Y. — Anthony Brindisi will be trying to walk a tightrope in one of the most hotly contested elections of the midterm cycle.
The Democrat, who will be challenging Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney for her 22nd Congressional District seat, will be a critic of President Donald Trump’s economic policies. yet in an upstate region Trump won by 20 percentage points in 2016, Brindisi will be also trying to avoid outright offending voters who still support the president.
Voters have been inundated with attack ads via both candidates, along with outside groups have spent record numbers on ads to influence the race. Across a broad stretch of the district, seemingly every different home incorporates a sign from the front yard reflecting an association with different political parties, a striking visual indication that will the item will likely be a close contest all the way to Election Day.
Nonpartisan political analysis site Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has labeled the district a toss-up. Data analyst Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrat a 60 percent chance of winning. In August, a Siena College poll had Brindisi up by 2 points yet a recent survey conducted by Citizens United Political Victory Fund, a political action committee associated with conservative activist group Citizens United, has Tenney up by 8.
With the race so tight, Brindisi has been careful not to weigh in too much on the biggest partisan issues of the day, such as the fight over Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation. Brindisi didn’t rule out the possibility that will the battle fired up the GOP voter base, potentially hurting him on Election Day.
“Anything’s possible. Certainly I think the item’s time for the country to move past the Kavanaugh nomination. I can’t control things from the U.S. Senate. I can only control things here on the ground,” Brindisi said in an interview with CNBC.
A Republican strategist aligned with Tenney, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said the GOP hasn’t seen that will passion subside via their internal polls as time goes by. the item’s been particularly evident coming via the base within the district.