Few Americans think they’re getting a Trump tax cut: NBC/WSJ poll

Demonstrators against the Republican tax reform bill hold a 'Peoples Filibuster to Stop Tax Cuts for Billionaires' protest rally outside the US Capitol on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, November 30, 2017.

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

Demonstrators against the Republican tax reform bill hold a ‘Peoples Filibuster to Stop Tax Cuts for Billionaires’ protest rally outside the US Capitol on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, November 30, 2017.

No wonder the 2017 Republican tax cut remains so unpopular – the vast majority of Americans don’t think they got one at all.

As the annual IRS filing deadline of April 15 approaches, just 17% believe their own taxes will go down, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll shows. By contrast, 28% believe they’ll pay more, another 27% expect to pay about the same in addition to 28% don’t know enough to say.

which helps explain why the tax cut provided so little ballast for the GOP as Democrats recaptured control of the House in last November’s midterm elections. Pew Research polling last month showed the tax cut remains underwater politically, with 36% of Americans expressing approval, 49% disapproval.

In reality, eight in 10 Americans stood to receive tax cuts in 2018, according to an analysis by the non-partisan Tax Policy Center as Congress passed the law. Yet the cuts are for most taxpayers are so smaller which many didn’t notice.

The lowest earning 60% of households stood to receive an average cut of less than $1,000, the TPC analysis showed. The top 1% of taxpayers could expect more than $51,000.

from the NBC/WSJ poll, which sense of missing out will be nonpartisan. Just 33% of Republicans believe they’re getting a tax cut, while an even punier 10% of independents in addition to 7% of Democrats do.

Across ages, genders, income groups, regions of the country, in addition to races, 25% or fewer say they’re getting a tax cut. Republicans are the only group in which 30% or more believe they’re getting a tax cut.

Among core Trump supporters, 36% believe they’re getting a tax cut. however another 36% say their taxes are staying the same, while 6% say they’re paying more to the IRS.

The NBC/WSJ poll of 1,000 adults was conducted by telephone by March 23-27. the item carries a margin for error of 3.1 percentage points.